US Midterm Elections 2018
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MJ23
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Funnily enough, I think supporters on both sides are happy to see him go.David wrote:Glad to see the back of him. If this is a ploy to intervene in the Mueller investigation, then it seems like Trump is only going to be creating more pain for himself.
There will be an extremely fine line Trump needs to walk re Muller hence the need for him to appoint an AG that Muller will report to given Sessions recusing himself . 2 years and counting for the investigation, it will be hard to justify the need for it to continue much longer.
Will also be interesting to see what the house will do as they seem to be jumping up and down about launching investigations. Congress can do what it wants to demand witnesses and evidence, but lawmakers are typically leery of taking steps that could jeopardise the criminal probe so having Muller shut down wont really annoy the Dems as much as they will jump up and down about it.
"Even when Im old and gray, I wont be able to play but Ill still love the game"
Michael Jordan
Michael Jordan
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Wokko
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The US Senate is different from ours in that it elects 1 senator outright for each of the States in respect of which a Senate election is being held. Thus, the representation goes entirely according to who has the majority in the particular year - there is no election by quota.
In yesterday's election, a third of the Senate places were up for grabs (plus two out-of-turn elections to cover unscheduled vacancies). Of the 35, in total, 26 were occupied by Democrats or allies and 9 were occupied by Republicans. In the next election, there will be (before allowing for unscheduled changes) only 11 seats presently occupied by Democrats and 20 occupied by Republicans and in the 2022 elections, there will be 12 seats presently occupied by Democrats and 22 occupied by Republicans.
As to whether any of those 42 Republican Senate seats are actually "up for grabs", here's a useful article on how the numbers work, in practice - please note that the reference to "bias" in the title is a reference to statistical bias in voting patterns - it isn't asserting some sort of unfair playing field, political bias or gerrymander: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/th ... d-the-gop/
In yesterday's election, a third of the Senate places were up for grabs (plus two out-of-turn elections to cover unscheduled vacancies). Of the 35, in total, 26 were occupied by Democrats or allies and 9 were occupied by Republicans. In the next election, there will be (before allowing for unscheduled changes) only 11 seats presently occupied by Democrats and 20 occupied by Republicans and in the 2022 elections, there will be 12 seats presently occupied by Democrats and 22 occupied by Republicans.
As to whether any of those 42 Republican Senate seats are actually "up for grabs", here's a useful article on how the numbers work, in practice - please note that the reference to "bias" in the title is a reference to statistical bias in voting patterns - it isn't asserting some sort of unfair playing field, political bias or gerrymander: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/th ... d-the-gop/
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MJ23
- Posts: 4163
- Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2011 8:52 pm
- Location: Sydney
Pies4shaw wrote:The US Senate is different from ours in that it elects 1 senator outright for each of the States in respect of which a Senate election is being held. Thus, the representation goes entirely according to who has the majority in the particular year - there is no election by quota.
In yesterday's election, a third of the Senate places were up for grabs (plus two out-of-turn elections to cover unscheduled vacancies). Of the 35, in total, 26 were occupied by Democrats or allies and 9 were occupied by Republicans. In the next election, there will be (before allowing for unscheduled changes) only 11 seats presently occupied by Democrats and 20 occupied by Republicans and in the 2022 elections, there will be 12 seats presently occupied by Democrats and 22 occupied by Republicans.
As to whether any of those 42 Republican Senate seats are actually "up for grabs", here's a useful article on how the numbers work, in practice - please note that the reference to "bias" in the title is a reference to statistical bias in voting patterns - it isn't asserting some sort of unfair playing field, political bias or gerrymander: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/th ... d-the-gop/
Not quite right - each state has two senators representing them.
Senators serves 6 year terms with a third of them up for re-election every 2 years.
A clear majority in the senate is most important than anything else for any sitting president. Reason Trump now could comfortably sack Sessions is that now he can get whoever he wants confirmed.
Last edited by MJ23 on Fri Nov 09, 2018 8:00 am, edited 1 time in total.
"Even when Im old and gray, I wont be able to play but Ill still love the game"
Michael Jordan
Michael Jordan