Interesting to revisit the polling posted by Jezza above with Klobuchar and Buttigieg taken out of the equation. It's reasonable to presume that the lion's share of their votes goes to Biden, but some will go to Bloomberg and Warren and it's not inconceivable that a small percentage could go to Sanders (also, 2 million people have already voted in Super Tuesday states, which will both blunt Biden's momentum and mean that Buttigieg and Klobuchar are still stealing votes from him).Pies4shaw wrote:Klobuchar has reportedly pulled the pin and is said to be about to endorse Biden. Buttigieg is apparently thinking of endorsing Biden also.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/liv ... ve-updates
Here are my (by now, total kiss of death) predictions for tomorrow:
• Sanders wins California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Texas (narrowly), Utah and Vermont (978 delegates on offer)
• Biden wins Alabama, Arkansas, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Virginia and American Samoa (404 delegates on offer)
Some outside chance that Warren picks up enough Klobuchar/Buttigieg votes to take Massachusetts, but I have a feeling that the anti-Sanders vote will be split too many ways there (and that one's a big deal, as Warren probably drops out if she loses her home state). Minnesota will be interesting given that Klobuchar was on track to win that; in theory most of her votes now go to Biden, but he was polling in single digits, so I find it hard to see him getting over Sanders, who was running a clear second. One of the only two big states I have down for Biden is Virginia, but Bloomberg (who was running second behind Sanders in a recent poll) could turn out to be an effective spoiler there; I suspect Biden will have no problems in North Carolina, though.