Ladder predictor 2023

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buzzlightyear
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Post by buzzlightyear »

David wrote:Updated:

1. Collingwood 20 3 0 134.8% 80
2. Port Adelaide 18 5 0 114.5% 72
3. Brisbane 17 6 0 130.1% 68
4. Melbourne 16 7 0 127.6% 64
5. Geelong 14 8 1 124.4% 58
6. Western Bulldogs 14 9 0 107.7% 56
7. Essendon 12 11 0 103.7% 48
8. GWS 12 11 0 99.9% 48

9. Carlton 11 11 1 108.0% 46
10. Richmond 11 11 1 100.1% 46
11. Adelaide 11 12 0 113.5% 44
12. St Kilda 11 12 0 100.1% 44
13. Sydney 10 12 1 106.8% 42
14. Gold Coast 9 14 0 90.6% 36
15. Fremantle 9 14 0 90.5% 36
16. Hawthorn 6 17 0 76.3% 24
17. North Melbourne 3 20 0 68.0% 12
18. West Coast 1 21 0 51.3% 4

Interesting that the number of wins needed to make the 8 seemingly continues to shrink. Everyone down to Fremantle is still at the very least a mathematical chance, and some sides that people are already writing off like Adelaide and Sydney may still be in with a shot of making finals deep into the season.
That would be quite a sweet "9th" for Carlton. Does lightning strike twice?!
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Post by David »

"Every time we witness an injustice and do not act, we train our character to be passive in its presence." – Julian Assange
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Uncle Jack
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Post by Uncle Jack »

buzzlightyear wrote:
David wrote:Updated:

1. Collingwood 20 3 0 134.8% 80
2. Port Adelaide 18 5 0 114.5% 72
3. Brisbane 17 6 0 130.1% 68
4. Melbourne 16 7 0 127.6% 64
5. Geelong 14 8 1 124.4% 58
6. Western Bulldogs 14 9 0 107.7% 56
7. Essendon 12 11 0 103.7% 48
8. GWS 12 11 0 99.9% 48

9. Carlton 11 11 1 108.0% 46
10. Richmond 11 11 1 100.1% 46
11. Adelaide 11 12 0 113.5% 44
12. St Kilda 11 12 0 100.1% 44
13. Sydney 10 12 1 106.8% 42
14. Gold Coast 9 14 0 90.6% 36
15. Fremantle 9 14 0 90.5% 36
16. Hawthorn 6 17 0 76.3% 24
17. North Melbourne 3 20 0 68.0% 12
18. West Coast 1 21 0 51.3% 4

Interesting that the number of wins needed to make the 8 seemingly continues to shrink. Everyone down to Fremantle is still at the very least a mathematical chance, and some sides that people are already writing off like Adelaide and Sydney may still be in with a shot of making finals deep into the season.
That would be quite a sweet "9th" for Carlton. Does lightning strike twice?!
And upset Richmond by taking their native territory?
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Post by David »

"Every time we witness an injustice and do not act, we train our character to be passive in its presence." – Julian Assange
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Post by David »

I hate to say it, but I think Carlton are playing finals now. Only need to beat St Kilda and Gold Coast to get to 12 and a half wins, and I think that'll be enough.

With Geelong and the Bulldogs also probably making it, that likely only leaves 8th spot up for grabs.
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Post by Raw Hammer »

If we were to lose week one and proceed to lose to Carlton the following week, and be eliminated in straight sets… that’d just about do me in.
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Post by David »

As it would all of us! But in the unlikely event we did come up against them in a semi-final, I expect we'd demolish them.

The glass-half full approach is that we'd get the chance to finish their season two years running.
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Post by Skids »

David wrote:I hate to say it, but I think Carlton are playing finals now. Only need to beat St Kilda and Gold Coast to get to 12 and a half wins, and I think that'll be enough.

With Geelong and the Bulldogs also probably making it, that likely only leaves 8th spot up for grabs.
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Post by David »

Far from locked in. They’ll lose today, by the looks of things, and probably start favourites in two of their last four games (vs Sydney and Essendon). Win both of those and they get to 12 wins, which may just be enough. But there are a number of teams that can take their place if they slip up.
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Post by David »

Last edited by David on Sat Jul 29, 2023 4:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Post by Skids »

David wrote:I hate to say it, but I think Carlton are playing finals now. Only need to beat St Kilda and Gold Coast to get to 12 and a half wins, and I think that'll be enough.

With Geelong and the Bulldogs also probably making it, that likely only leaves 8th spot up for grabs.
And there goes that theory.
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Post by David »

"Every time we witness an injustice and do not act, we train our character to be passive in its presence." – Julian Assange
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Post by David »

"Every time we witness an injustice and do not act, we train our character to be passive in its presence." – Julian Assange
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Post by Johnno75 »

I have us at 19-4 losing to Brisbane and I come up with us playing Port
If we beat Brissy we will play them. Melbourne finish 2nd so we avoid then until a possible GF.

1 Collingwood
2 Melbourne
3 Brisbane
4 Port
5 GWS
6 WB
7 Geel
8 Adel

Geelong beat Port next week and Carlton beat Saints but lose their last 3 (ha ha ha ha)
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Post by What'sinaname »

Dees look like they have stumbled onto a decent forward line.
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