Top 4 predictions (betting thread)

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Skids
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Post by Skids »

I'm going the Cats at the line tonight fairly hard ;)
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Skids
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Post by Skids »

Line looking very safe.

Had a little on Cats 1-24 @ $4.80.... think they'll win by more than that though. Tigers are rattled.
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Skids
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Post by Skids »

Phew... 19.5 point line. That was close!
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Skids
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Post by Skids »

Grundy getting a bit of attention, now in to 12's with some bookies.

I have him at 25/1 and at 5/1 to finish top 3.

Kel has backed Neale.

Sidey top 20 at $9 is my bet of the night.
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BigKeyForward
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Post by BigKeyForward »

Ill drop a bit of Goldust in this room...

Boxed Trifecta

Neale/Cripps/Treloar 151-1

Im hoping to turn a Blueberry into 30 pineapples...
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Skids
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Post by Skids »

Great price for a good chance there BKF!

I honestly think Grundy will be top 3 though, which will pop you there.

Looking forward to this count more than I have the last 10 years... don't know why.
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BigKeyForward
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Post by BigKeyForward »

Skids wrote:Great price for a good chance there BKF!

I honestly think Grundy will be top 3 though, which will pop you there.

Looking forward to this count more than I have the last 10 years... don't know why.
Thats what my old Man said, but the same trifecta with Grundy is at 201-1
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K
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Post by K »

Skids wrote:...
Sidey top 20 at $9 is my bet of the night.
Where did Steele end up?
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Pies4shaw
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Post by Pies4shaw »

He had 7 votes. At a quick tally, that ranked him equal 52nd. I had to check that by looking across each of the Club by Club tallies, so I might have missed one here or there but equal 52nd or slightly lower is certainly correct.
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K
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Post by K »

Finals Week 4 Line

BetEasy: Richmond (-17.5)

sb: Richmond (-17.5)

TAB: Richmond (-17.5)

Finals Week 4 H2H

BetEasy: Richmond 1.41 (3.05)

sb: Richmond 1.40 (3.10)

TAB: Richmond 1.40 (3.10)
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Skids
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Post by Skids »

Before our Prelim, GWS were $17 to win the flag.
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K
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Post by K »

"With a couple of exceptions, I hadn’t been in touch with most of those punters for over a decade. ... Despite my doubts, though, most did reply. I sent 15 emails and, over three weeks, 11 came back with answers. Two further emails were returned asking why I was bothering them after all this time and requesting that I don’t again. Two of my emails await a response and, I suspect, will wait indefinitely."

https://www.betfair.com.au/hub/the-advi ... e-punters/


Why bother replying an email just to be rude? :shock:
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K
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Post by K »

Sportsbet ordered to pay winnings on 'unfairly cancelled' AFL bets

https://www.theage.com.au/business/comp ... 536bt.html

"The decision does not say how much punters are owed and Sportsbet would not say. However industry sources suggested it ranged from "a few million" up to $9 million.
...

In deciding whether or not Sportsbets' odds were "obvious errors", the NTRC said it considered whether they would have been discernible to the average customer with "a reasonable knowledge of betting and of the sport of AFL".

Based on the fact that four of the nine prices Sportsbet offered were higher than prices previously offer for the same bet, "it is arguable that it would not be outrageous to see the prices offered in error on offer"."


Err... what does that last sentence mean? :? :?:
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K
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Post by K »

sportsbet AFL Premiership Winner 2020

Collingwood 5.50
Richmond 6.50
Brisbane 10.00
Port 10.00
GWS 11.00
WC 13.00
Geelong 15.00
Hawthorn 19.00
WB 26.00
Essendon 34.00
Melbourne 41.00
NM 51.00
StK 51.00
GC 67.00
Sydney 67.00
Carlton 81.00
Freo 201.00
Adelaide 251.00
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David
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Post by David »

Sounds good! Honestly, I'd have Port and Brisbane a little higher based on what we've seen so far this season, and maybe GWS once they start getting players back. But we're a strong top 4 chance for sure and deserve to be in conversation as a premiership chance.

On the other hand, Richmond look cooked and hopefully will stay that way.
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