2020 US election results

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watt price tully
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Post by watt price tully »

stui magpie wrote:I was reading an article that mentioned that Trump's 74 million votes was more votes for a President than anyone previously. I thought that couldn't be right so I checked.

Fun facts, the 2020 election had the highest voter turnout since 1900 with 66.7%

Trumps 74 million votes was 11 million more than he got when he won in 2016. Let that sink in for a second, 11 million more people voted for Trump in 2020 than voted for him in 2016.

Biden's 81 million votes was 16 million more than Clinton got in 2016

Despite the largest voting turn out in US history, the final margin of 7 million votes barely makes the top 10 largest. The biggest margin ever being 17.99 Million by Nixon in 1972 :shock:

More fun facts loosely around Tannin's post above.

The total US population is around 330 Million. Around 80 Million of that is under 18 so that leaves roughly 250 Million people of voting age.

155 Million voted so 95 million for whatever reason, didn't.
Reality check:

Trump lost (232) and Biden won (306) let me see 306 minus 232 is 74

1. Trump lost bigtime
2. Almost no one is a single term president but I'm pleased to say Trump is
3. Trump lost the House of Representatives
4. Trmp lost the majority in the senate
5. Trump didn't win any of the above
6. Trump however did win impeachment ... twice (a record)


However Trump did win the racist redneck and white supremacist vote and by quite a margin.

Tru
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stui magpie
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Post by stui magpie »

Pies4shaw wrote:Here's another. If it had still been 1789, he would have beaten Washington's 43,782 votes by about 74 million.

There were under 225,000,000 people of voting age in the US in 2016. By 2019, the figure had increased to 255,000,000. It will have been higher again by 2020 (but I can't find a sensible projection at the moment). If two-thirds of the 2019 newbies vote, that's another 20 million votes. There's been a bit of an increase for both sides - but it's largely accounted for by population increase.
It's actually accounted for by 2020 having the highest voter turnout in over 100 years. 66.7% compared to 60.2% in 2016.
Every dead body on Mt Everest was once a highly motivated person, so maybe just calm the **** down.
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Post by Pies4shaw »

^ I think those figures must (logically) be measuring something different. There need to be about 38 million more votes in 2020 compared to 2016 to account for both the natural increase in the eligible voting-age population (from under 225,000,000 to a figure well in excess of 255,0000,000) and the increased "turnout". The increase in total votes was under 24 million, so I'm not sure what the figures you are using are really measuring - but I suspect it's the change in the portion of registered (as distinct from eligible voters). I am not doubting that the figures you are using are reported (I've seen similar ones) - but I think the figures are incorrectly calculated. This is not a comment on your points - it is a comment on what appears to me to be the impossibility of the underlying data. I assume that's because the journalists who write this stuff do it with reckless disregard to the accuracy of the arithmetic.
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Post by Tannin »

Pies4shaw wrote: the journalists who write this stuff do it with reckless disregard to the accuracy of the arithmetic.
Gosh! Journalists getting it wrong? Who'd a thunk it?
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Post by stui magpie »

Pies4shaw wrote:^ I think those figures must (logically) be measuring something different. There need to be about 38 million more votes in 2020 compared to 2016 to account for both the natural increase in the eligible voting-age population (from under 225,000,000 to a figure well in excess of 255,0000,000) and the increased "turnout". The increase in total votes was under 24 million, so I'm not sure what the figures you are using are really measuring - but I suspect it's the change in the portion of registered (as distinct from eligible voters). I am not doubting that the figures you are using are reported (I've seen similar ones) - but I think the figures are incorrectly calculated. This is not a comment on your points - it is a comment on what appears to me to be the impossibility of the underlying data. I assume that's because the journalists who write this stuff do it with reckless disregard to the accuracy of the arithmetic.
I got the figures from here. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U ... ote_margin

It's the % of eligible voters, just because someone is over 18 doesn't mean they're eligible to vote.

Critique away.
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Post by Pies4shaw »

Now here's an interesting possibility:
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/202 ... -secession

If "TEXIT" occurs, that means the Republicans lose 38 bankable electoral votes straight away.We can worry about what happens to them under the US constitution if Texan succession ever looks likely but I assume they are either lost entirely, or else reapportioned amongst the other States according to population (in which case, California, would get another 6 electoral votes, Florida would get another 3 or 4, New York would get another 3 or 4 etc).

You'd wonder whether the Republicans nationally would try to pull these morons into line but, who knows?

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/202 ... -secession
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Post by David »

I would kind of feel sorry for the (sane) people of Texas if this ever happened, but one can't help but think that the rest of the US would benefit if they did decide to pull the plug.
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Post by stui magpie »

My understanding is they cant secede without the consent of the rest of the union
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Post by Pies4shaw »

They've seceded once already - from Mexico. Maybe they'll go back there?

Actual succession is a question of power, isn't it? The issue isn't addressed in their Constitution. A dead neo-Nazi judge there did say at one time that the issue of the right to secede had been decided by the Civil War. If you think about that for more than a moment, you'll realize that's piffle (even for a stupid American judge - and they've had dozens) - but, then, he was a complete idiot.
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Post by stui magpie »

Pies4shaw wrote:They've seceded once already - from Mexico. Maybe they'll go back there?
They did but they then had to fight them, and win, before being able to establish them selves as The Republic of Texas for a few years before they were annexed voluntarily by the USA.

Texan dick pulling over secession is the same as from WA, it's just not going to happen.

Texas is a great place to visit though. I'd love to spend more time in El Paso and really look around.
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Post by Pies4shaw »

Just watch out - you wouldn't want to get in the way of the goose-steppers, Stui.
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Post by stui magpie »

Nah it's all good, you aren't allowed to take your guns into bars so that works for me.
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Post by roar »

David wrote:I would kind of feel sorry for the (sane) people of Texas if this ever happened, but one can't help but think that the rest of the US would benefit if they did decide to pull the plug.
I'd say both would benefit.
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