US election 2020

Post by **Jezza** » Tue Mar 10, 2020 7:14 pm

Wokko wrote:Biden is rapidly deteriorating, I wouldn't be surprised at this point if we got Trump vs Hillary 2

Surely the Democrats are not stupid enough to go back to Clinton or are they?

Post by **stui magpie** » Tue Mar 10, 2020 7:22 pm

If Biden drops off the perch, surely that means Bernie has to get the nod? How can they just drop someone else in or bring back someone who dropped out?

Wokko · Post by **Wokko** » Tue Mar 10, 2020 8:38 pm

stui magpie wrote:If Biden drops off the perch, surely that means Bernie has to get the nod? How can they just drop someone else in or bring back someone who dropped out?

If he doesn't have 51% of Delegates in the first round they can pretty much put in anyone they like.

Post by **stui magpie** » Tue Mar 10, 2020 9:22 pm

So the $64 question is, WTF is the point of the whole thing?

Post by **David** » Tue Mar 10, 2020 9:46 pm

Wokko · Post by **Wokko** » Wed Mar 11, 2020 10:41 am

Biden now 99% chance according to fivethirtyeight, Nobody is 1% and Sanders is <1%, same as Gabbard. It's over.

Post by **David** » Wed Mar 11, 2020 11:46 am

Not sure how much stock I’d put in that; I wouldn’t exactly be putting money on Sanders right now, but there’s still time for the dynamic of the race to change and the delegate difference is far from insurmountable. Ultimately it may come down to Washington, the biggest state voting today: win that, and I feel like there might be a little life left in the Sanders campaign yet. Lose and, as I said above, last one to leave can turn the lights out.

Wokko · Post by **Wokko** » Wed Mar 11, 2020 12:04 pm

Michigan's the biggest state voting today and Biden's leading. He's going to win every state today except Washington.

I was waiting to see some early results come in, but it's as bad or worse for Sanders as Super Tuesday. I'm calling it. Biden is the nominee.

Wokko · Post by **Wokko** » Wed Mar 11, 2020 12:17 pm

Michigan just got called for Biden.

Missouri and Mississippi were called as soon as polls closed.

Post by **Pies4shaw** » Wed Mar 11, 2020 12:24 pm

The Kiss of Death (if one were even required):

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/202 ... believe-in

Wokko · Post by **Wokko** » Wed Mar 11, 2020 12:41 pm

Pies4shaw wrote:The Kiss of Death (if one were even required):

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/202 ... believe-in

I like Heart of Gold I guess, not sure why musicians think anyone cares who they vote for though.

*edit* Didn't know it was Linda Ronstadt doing back up vocals. Now her I love.

Post by **David** » Wed Mar 11, 2020 1:17 pm

Wokko wrote:Michigan's the biggest state voting today and Biden's leading. He's going to win every state today except Washington.

Touché! Washington's the second biggest. (Honestly there's a chance Biden wins that too.) Sanders might have a chance in Idaho, too, but slim pickings there.

Wokko · Post by **Wokko** » Wed Mar 11, 2020 2:39 pm

Idaho - Biden
Washington - Neck and Neck
North Dakota - Sanders

Buckle up for Trump/Biden debates.

Post by **David** » Wed Mar 11, 2020 2:57 pm

^ The North Dakota count is only the mail-in ballots so far, I'm sorry to say, which would probably be expected to favour Sanders. No idea where that state will end up, but it's still possible that Washington (where Sanders leads narrowly) could be his only win, or that he could lose all six.

Post by **Jezza** » Wed Mar 11, 2020 5:14 pm

Counting hasn't concluded yet, but here are current numbers:

Idaho = Biden (48.3%), Sanders (42.6%)
Michigan = Biden (52.8%), Sanders (37.5%), Gabbard (0.2%)
Mississippi = Biden (81.0%), Sanders (14.9%), Gabbard (0.4%)
North Dakota = Sanders (47.5%), Biden (39.3%), Gabbard (0.3%)
Washington = Sanders (32.7%), Biden (32.5%)

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US election 2020

Who do you hope wins the US Election?