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RudeBoy
Joined: 28 Nov 2005
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| Post subject: Tip for the flag |  |
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The half way mark of the season seems as good a place as any to look ahead and predict this year's team to beat for the flag.
Freo might be on top atm but I actually think the Eagles are best positioned to win the flag. Like us, they are improving, especially getting their forwards back on the park in Kennedy, Le Cras and now Darling.
FWIW, I think we might just beat Freo thursday week. |
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partypie
Joined: 01 Oct 2010
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| I watched Freos last 2 games, they didn't look that impressive. Sydney are cruising along nicely at the moment. |
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Mugwump
Joined: 28 Jul 2007
Location: Between London and Melbourne
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US !!!! I donlt know wat the odds are, but in both 1990 and 2010 we were far from certain at the half way point - we just grew and grew, as the year went on and a young team found its confidence and began to believe.
Do I think we'll win it ? Well, probably not - but we're far from out of it, in an unpredictable year when everything can turn around very quickly - and we are at least on the rise, rather than on the turn.
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Two more flags before I die! |
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Dangles
Balmey Army
Joined: 14 May 2015
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| Mugwump wrote: | US !!!! I donlt know wat the odds are, but in both 1990 and 2010 we were far from certain at the half way point - we just grew and grew, as the year went on and a young team found its confidence and began to believe.
Do I think we'll win it ? Well, probably not - but we're far from out of it, in an unpredictable year when everything can turn around very quickly - and we are at least on the rise, rather than on the turn. |
Our odds are 21-1. I got on before the season started at 34-1. |
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duggieboy
Joined: 12 Jan 2005
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| If we ignore Hawks will they just go away? |
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HAL
Please don't shout at me - I can't help it.
Joined: 17 Mar 2003
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| Do you think everyone will agree? |
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Dangles
Balmey Army
Joined: 14 May 2015
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| duggieboy wrote: | | If we ignore Hawks will they just go away? |
I'd advocate the opposite approach. The Pies should make Hawthorn our hate team. They've had the wood on us for way too long. It's about time "we drew a line in the sand" and started treating every game against them like our Grand Final. |
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yin-YANG
Joined: 03 Oct 2011
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Eagles - no.
They are winning games they should win - like us. But I am not convinced they will knock off the best teams. They are finals bound and their draw might even see them getting a top 4 berth but they will struggle against the best teams in September.
Swans - They are a big threat atm - they have not fallen away after last year's poor GF loss. They have some champion players and can play tough contested footy. They travel well and if they cam up against Freo or any other interstate team in a GF they should be the fav!
Hawks are not interstaters though… They have had a dream run playing freo and Swans in the last 2 GF's. In both years they really struggled in the prelim… do they have this year to get over the prelim stage? Roughy has been down this year and he has been huge - can't write them off because they have been there and know how to win.
Freo with a few injuries of late are looking more vulnerable. Highlighting how important injuries are for any of the teams hoping to win a flag.
Favs still have to be Hawks - (if they can make top 2) but if they have to travel to WA for example for a final it may be to big a task, especially in a prelim. Sydney would be a big chance to come up then and knock off any other interstate protagonists.
Wildcards are Cats,, Tigers and Pies… These teams will get some finals action and will be dangerous… Not sure between Port and North - both are capable… Giants with a soft draw will be a threat but I have a feeling injuries will hurt them and they will fall away.
Final 8 … (before finals)
Freo
Syd
Hawks
Weagles
Tigers
Pies
Cats
Port/North ???
Injuries to play a part - but at that this stage of the year I would tip Swans to beat Freo in the GF.
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Love us or Hate us... we are Collingwood - you can't ignore the Mighty Magpies!!! |
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Darkstranger
Joined: 06 Jun 2012
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Dorks will peak at the right end of the season as always, they don't have the best percentage ( yeah I know WCE by .67 but look who they have played ) for no reason.
Put all your money of Dorkhorn to win it and win it easy.
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There is Collingwood and then the rest. |
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MagpiesTheGreat
Joined: 01 Dec 2014
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| Pies will 2015's flag and surprise every living creature on earth. |
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GoWoodsmen
Joined: 18 Apr 2005
Location: Australia
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Anyone but Hawthorn.... don't care who... just anyone but them.
Hate to say it but DS I reckon has got it spot on... Dawks are just getting things right as we get to the pointy end of the season.
Sydney are in cruise control and haven't had an easy draw so they'd be my tip.
I actually hate Hawthorn that much now I hope they don't even reach the prelim - it's getting boring and annoying and I don't believe they play that much better brand of footy than any of the others.
And of course in a dream the Pies will somehow build and build but like every f'n commentator on the planet... let's get through the next 4 weeks and see where we're at.
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Side By Side Forever |
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regan is true fullback
Joined: 27 Dec 2002
Location: Granville. nsw
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| Hawthorn will finish 5th...and will not win the flag this year. |
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Dangles
Balmey Army
Joined: 14 May 2015
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"Giants with a soft draw will be a threat but I have a feeling injuries will hurt them and they will fall away."
I agree. just heard Mumford is gone for the year. Many think that structurally he's their most important player, so I'd say they're cooked. And once again this highlights the value of having two number one ruckmen on our list. |
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E
Joined: 05 May 2010
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| Post subject: Re: Tip for the flag | |
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| RudeBoy wrote: | The half way mark of the season seems as good a place as any to look ahead and predict this year's team to beat for the flag.
Freo might be on top atm but I actually think the Eagles are best positioned to win the flag. Like us, they are improving, especially getting their forwards back on the park in Kennedy, Le Cras and now Darling.
FWIW, I think we might just beat Freo thursday week. |
analyze who the Eagles have beaten before you name them flag favorites. their draw has been as soft as ours.
Let's see how they look when hawthorn and Sydney decide to step it up as the season's end approaches. I'd be pretty surprised if the GF didn't consist of 2 of Hawthorn, Sydney and Freo.
_________________
Ohhh, the Premiership's a cakewalk ....... |
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E
Joined: 05 May 2010
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| yin-YANG wrote: | Eagles - no.
They are winning games they should win - like us. But I am not convinced they will knock off the best teams. They are finals bound and their draw might even see them getting a top 4 berth but they will struggle against the best teams in September.
Swans - They are a big threat atm - they have not fallen away after last year's poor GF loss. They have some champion players and can play tough contested footy. They travel well and if they cam up against Freo or any other interstate team in a GF they should be the fav!
Hawks are not interstaters though… They have had a dream run playing freo and Swans in the last 2 GF's. In both years they really struggled in the prelim… do they have this year to get over the prelim stage? Roughy has been down this year and he has been huge - can't write them off because they have been there and know how to win.
Freo with a few injuries of late are looking more vulnerable. Highlighting how important injuries are for any of the teams hoping to win a flag.
Favs still have to be Hawks - (if they can make top 2) but if they have to travel to WA for example for a final it may be to big a task, especially in a prelim. Sydney would be a big chance to come up then and knock off any other interstate protagonists.
Wildcards are Cats,, Tigers and Pies… These teams will get some finals action and will be dangerous… Not sure between Port and North - both are capable… Giants with a soft draw will be a threat but I have a feeling injuries will hurt them and they will fall away.
Final 8 … (before finals)
Freo
Syd
Hawks
Weagles
Tigers
Pies
Cats
Port/North ???
Injuries to play a part - but at that this stage of the year I would tip Swans to beat Freo in the GF. |
Adelaide Crows are a little hurt by this assessment given they handled us pretty easily early on. GWS is also curious about their omission.
_________________
Ohhh, the Premiership's a cakewalk ....... |
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