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Are Brisbane vulnerable on the MCG?

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Meredith1965 



Joined: 04 Jun 2022


PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2023 2:43 am
Post subject: Are Brisbane vulnerable on the MCG?Reply with quote

If we make it to the GF, it seems likely we’ll face Brisbane on the G.

A lot of people have queried whether they can play at their best on this ground.

They have only played there twice in 2023, which should be in our favour.

Once in Rd13, where they were downed by Hawthorn when Hawthorn was beginning to emerge from the cellar (and we know what Hawthorn did to us on the G later).

Then they were defeated by Melbourne by just 1 point in a high scoring game in Rd 18.

That does not seem a bad form line to me.

TWo games a year will not help them perfect a game style tailored for this ground, but when they have played there, they have performed passably well. So I am not sure it is the clear disadvantage to them I thought it was. Of course, if we get there, a big pro-Pies crowd on GF day will help us (though diluted with the usual theatregoers and carpetbaggers who pollute that day).

What is the assumption that Brisbane cannot play the G based on ?
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What'sinaname Libra



Joined: 29 May 2010
Location: Living rent free

PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2023 6:17 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

Wishing thinking I reckon.

Brisbane are, and should be, outright favourites. In terms of completeness, they are the most complete team. Very strong in the ruck / midfield, very good backline and a forward line made up of very dangerous KPF and the best small forward in the league.

This is the team I fear the most.

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jonmac1954 



Joined: 07 Nov 2019


PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2023 7:26 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

What'sinaname wrote:
Wishing thinking I reckon.

Brisbane are, and should be, outright favourites. In terms of completeness, they are the most complete team. Very strong in the ruck / midfield, very good backline and a forward line made up of very dangerous KPF and the best small forward in the league.

This is the team I fear the most.

It's not wishing - they simply aren't the machine they are at home compared to coming to the G.

This is true for any non Victorian team and it applies in reverse for Victorian teams travelling interstate.

It's simply a fact.
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23 YIPPEE!!! 

YIPPEE 23!!!


Joined: 24 Jul 2019


PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2023 7:50 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

They play Marvel well dont forget.

It suits their game style.

MCG is thier krptonight they dont handle the wide spaces well.

Saying that they did win flags on the mcg 2001-2003.

But its not 2003 its 2023 and a whole new team.

Still think its a Pies Lions GF.

MCG.
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Pies4shaw Leo

pies4shaw


Joined: 08 Oct 2007


PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2023 8:00 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

jonmac1954 wrote:
What'sinaname wrote:
Wishing thinking I reckon.

Brisbane are, and should be, outright favourites. In terms of completeness, they are the most complete team. Very strong in the ruck / midfield, very good backline and a forward line made up of very dangerous KPF and the best small forward in the league.

This is the team I fear the most.

It's not wishing - they simply aren't the machine they are at home compared to coming to the G.

This is true for any non Victorian team and it applies in reverse for Victorian teams travelling interstate.

It's simply a fact.

They've only lost 14 of their last 15 games at the 'G. In fact, going back to 2009, they've won (an aptly Fitzroy-like) 3 out of 27 games at the MCG. Their one win at the 'G in the last 9 seasons was against Melbourne last year in a semi-final. Melbourne lost both their finals at the 'G in 2022 to interstate teams (Sydney beat them first up, there). After getting past an inept Melbourne, the Bears lost by 12 goals to Geelong.

Not much of a form-line to be taking into an AFL Grand Final.
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Piethagoras' Theorem Taurus

the hypotenuse, is always a cakewalk


Joined: 29 May 2006


PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2023 8:08 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

It hardly matters, as they will lose their Prelim.
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Piethagoras' Theorem Taurus

the hypotenuse, is always a cakewalk


Joined: 29 May 2006


PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2023 8:33 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

Mind you, if they do manage to get through, that little win at Marvel will have lulled them into a false sense of security. They won't know what hit them!
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jonmac1954 



Joined: 07 Nov 2019


PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2023 8:38 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

Piethagoras' Theorem wrote:
Mind you, if they do manage to get through, that little win at Marvel will have lulled them into a false sense of security. They won't know what hit them!

God Marvel is a sh1tbox
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Meredith1965 



Joined: 04 Jun 2022


PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2023 8:46 am
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Piethagoras' Theorem wrote:
It hardly matters, as they will lose their Prelim.


Playing Melbourne it is just possible, though very unlikely. Playing Carlton it is a vanishingly small chance.
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Meredith1965 



Joined: 04 Jun 2022


PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2023 8:50 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

Pies4shaw wrote:
jonmac1954 wrote:
What'sinaname wrote:
Wishing thinking I reckon.

Brisbane are, and should be, outright favourites. In terms of completeness, they are the most complete team. Very strong in the ruck / midfield, very good backline and a forward line made up of very dangerous KPF and the best small forward in the league.

This is the team I fear the most.

It's not wishing - they simply aren't the machine they are at home compared to coming to the G.

This is true for any non Victorian team and it applies in reverse for Victorian teams travelling interstate.

It's simply a fact.

They've only lost 14 of their last 15 games at the 'G. In fact, going back to 2009, they've won (an aptly Fitzroy-like) 3 out of 27 games at the MCG. Their one win at the 'G in the last 9 seasons was against Melbourne last year in a semi-final. Melbourne lost both their finals at the 'G in 2022 to interstate teams (Sydney beat them first up, there). After getting past an inept Melbourne, the Bears lost by 12 goals to Geelong.

Not much of a form-line to be taking into an AFL Grand Final.

I wonder whether form on a ground the previous year can be extrapolated to this year ? Same coach, more developed players … maybe it can. It’s an interesting conjecture.
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melliot 



Joined: 07 Apr 2006
Location: Bendigo

PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2023 9:05 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

I think home ground advantage in finals and particularly the GF is diminished to a fair degree.

Visiting Players/teams just seem to get over it.

Eg: Id reckon our record in finals interstate isn't much different to the G. But I haven't done the numbers to prove it.
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Cam Capricorn

Nick's BB Member #166


Joined: 10 May 2002
Location: Springvale

PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2023 9:36 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

I think the Lions will play well wherever they play... and the Grand Final reduces the Collingwood crowd power significantly. IF we get there, I think it will go down to the wire ala 2018, whichever team we play.
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Culprit Cancer



Joined: 06 Feb 2003
Location: Port Melbourne

PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2023 9:39 am
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Don't underestimate them, they are a good team and our record against them in Grand Finals isn't great. I actually give Melb and Carlton a huge chance to knock them off. We need to win the prelim first.
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Mr Miyagi 



Joined: 14 Sep 2018


PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2023 9:43 am
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There’s a reason we played our home game against them at Marvel. I still think we would have beaten them at the G.
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jonmac1954 



Joined: 07 Nov 2019


PostPosted: Sun Sep 10, 2023 9:48 am
Post subject: Reply with quote

Marvel and the G are completely different animals. The widest wings in the game and that swirling wind is a true puzzle for many a visiting forward.
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