Form ladder 2024

[David]

A few big changes this week between 4th and 11th. On reflection I think I have been overrating a few teams for a while now at the expense of others, so hopefully this is a more accurate reflection of where things are at:

Round 15

1. Sydney
2. Carlton
3. Collingwood
4. Brisbane
5. Fremantle
6. GWS
7. Western Bulldogs
8. Essendon

9. Geelong
10. Melbourne
11. Port Adelaide
12. Gold Coast
13. Hawthorn
14. Adelaide
15. St Kilda
16. West Coast
17. Richmond
18. North Melbourne

[dalyc]

No comment

[David]

Round 16

1. Sydney
2. Carlton
3. Fremantle
4. Brisbane
5. Collingwood
6. Geelong
7. Western Bulldogs
8. GWS

9. Essendon
10. Gold Coast
11. Port Adelaide
12. Melbourne
13. Hawthorn
14. Adelaide
15. St. Kilda
16. Richmond
17. West Coast
18. North Melbourne

[Jezza]

^ GWS too high for mine. Hawthorn are too low.

[David]

It kind of feels that way intuitively, but it's also easy to forget thanks to their more recent form slump that the Giants have also beaten teams in 4th (Brisbane), 5th (Collingwood) and 6th (Geelong) on my ladder, as well as Gold Coast and Port Adelaide.

Hawthorn have also beaten Brisbane comfortably, and then the only other wins they've had against teams placed 1–12 have been narrow wins over the Bulldogs and Giants (they also had close losses against Collingwood and Port). Their wins against bottom 5 sides have tended to be a little more convincing, but I think based on the above you'd still have to have GWS higher, even if you might make a case for them to be ranked closer.

Hawthorn's next three weeks (vs Geelong, Fremantle and Collingwood) will be a good test of how they fare against serious opposition. I wouldn't be surprised to see them go 0–3, which would reflect where I've ranked them, but if they can get a couple of wins there then maybe the hype is justified.